The goal to reverse prolonged
deflation and yen appreciation is a declared focus of a newly appointed
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. However, according to the minutes of the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee
published on January 3, 2013, several members expressed concerns that
continuing purchase of mortgage backed securities ($40 billion per month) and
purchase of long term Treasury securities ($45 billion per month) would contribute
to the maximisation of employment and price stability. Consequently, the suggestions
to slow down or stop the programme before the end of 2013 were discussed. Decisions on monetary
policies are left to the discretions of the national central banks; however, the
opposite policies may contradict the reliability of Japan-US alliance.
Shinzo Abe, the leader of Japan's
Liberal Democratic Party, together with a new coalition Cabinet,
formed on the 26th of December in 2012, committed to revive economy through
bold monetary policy measures, flexible public funding policies and growth
strategy which encourages private sector investment. The new government also
promoted endeavors to accelerate the reconstruction of the Great East Japan
Earthquake, restore national security as well as improve education and
sustainable social security systems. However, despite the domestic interests,
commercial concerns, as usual, go far beyond territorial influence.
According to the statistical data
of Bank of Japan published on 10 December, 2012, Japan’s international
investment in debt securities amounted 210,574 billion yen in 2011 which
comprised 36 percentages of total invested international assets. The liabilities
in international debt securities comprised 91,639 billion yen those made 29
percentages of total invested international liabilities in 2011. Thus, falling
Japanese yen against major foreign exchange currencies may increase assets'
value; however, the increase in incomes depends on the structure of foreign and
domestic assets and liabilities.
Analysing direct international investment in 2011,
the biggest amounts were allocated for wholesale and retail industry as well as
finance and insurance industry. According to the statistics, 5,334 billion yen
were invested in Central and South American finance and insurance industry; 4,796
billion yen were allocated in North American wholesale and retail industry and
4,700 billion yen in North American finance and insurance industry. The total
amount of investment in European finance and insurance sector was 3,131 billion
yen. Direct investment in Asian finance and insurance industry comprised 2,714
billion yen and 2,163 billion yen were allocated in Asian wholesale and retail sector.
The other significant investments were made in chemicals and pharmaceuticals
industry as well as electric machinery and transportation equipments based in US,
China, and Europe in 2011. 3,208 billion yen were allocated in US, 2,236 billion yen
were invested in Europe and 1,566 billion yen were spent in Asian chemicals and
pharmaceuticals industry. Additionally, 2,557 billion yen were invested in Asian electric
machinery and 2,810 billion yen were allocated in Asian transportation equipments
sector. 1,933 billion yen were invested in North American electric machinery
industry and 1,848 billion yen in North American transportation equipments. 1,659
billion yen were allocated in European electric machinery sector and 1,871 billion
yen in European transportation equipments. Similarly to international portfolio
investment, devaluated domestic currency may increase the value of assets;
however, higher returns on direct international investments also depend on structure
of incomes and costs.
So, due to high international commercial relations it is difficult to measure benefits and loses of devaluation of domestic currency. Moreover, monetary policies may hardly replace structural reforms and aggressive economic growth may end with even higher debt obligations.
So, due to high international commercial relations it is difficult to measure benefits and loses of devaluation of domestic currency. Moreover, monetary policies may hardly replace structural reforms and aggressive economic growth may end with even higher debt obligations.
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